Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.120773 0.181958 0.253269 0.340011 0.440516 0.551499 0.681653
2025-12-07 0.041456 0.107452 0.202493 0.334444 0.502171 0.700212 0.944794
2025-12-14 0.010952 0.064973 0.164226 0.318452 0.527913 0.785996 1.114529
2025-12-21 0.003053 0.051730 0.162023 0.346537 0.606911 0.935148 1.359508
2025-12-28 0.000277 0.042382 0.161835 0.374573 0.683821 1.080330 1.598700
2026-01-04 NaN 0.031750 0.154638 0.389379 0.741218 1.199962 1.806189
2026-01-11 NaN 0.028976 0.162562 0.427502 0.830752 1.360834 2.064951
2026-01-18 NaN 0.024536 0.164681 0.455290 0.905350 1.502326 2.299770
2026-01-25 NaN 0.016564 0.153515 0.458762 0.944076 1.596417 2.474947
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006408 0.125101 0.427409 0.929299 1.618170 2.557594
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000782 0.095276 0.386790 0.896740 1.613521 2.604618
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.081217 0.373939 0.904697 1.662337 2.719127
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.076934 0.382813 0.949310 1.765130 2.908672
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.067482 0.378296 0.972209 1.838354 3.060860
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.054226 0.360839 0.972045 1.878080 3.168178
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.059019 0.390925 1.051827 2.031124 3.425234
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.063693 0.420765 1.131325 2.183949 3.682255
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.063259 0.436519 1.186996 2.303063 3.894943
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.071696 0.476989 1.284866 2.482418 4.187590
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.076140 0.506428 1.364079 2.635385 4.445552
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.071375 0.510103 1.399441 2.726024 4.621202
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.054895 0.476891 1.370175 2.723582 4.672908
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.037756 0.433765 1.320463 2.689801 4.681424